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The Next War
By John Pilger
Basra Video Should Lay to Rest A Scurrilous Lie
Religion Cannot Be A Subject for Caricatures

The Next War
By John Pilger
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An Iranian man reads a newspaper with a front page picture of Iran's nuclear negotiator Javad Vaeedi at a newsstand in Tehran, Feb. 15. (Reuters File Photo)
Has Tony Blair, our minuscule Caesar, finally crossed his Rubicon? Having subverted the laws of the civilised world and brought carnage to a defenceless people and bloodshed to his own, having lied and lied and used the death of a hundredth British soldier in Iraq to indulge his profane self-pity, is he about to collude in one more crime before he goes?
Perhaps he is seriously unstable now, as some have suggested. Power does bring a certain madness to its prodigious abusers, especially those of shallow disposition. In The March of Folly: from Troy to Vietnam, the great American historian Barbara Tuchman described Lyndon B Johnson, the president whose insane policies took him across his Rubicon in Vietnam. “He lacked [John] Kennedy’s ambivalence, born of a certain historical sense and at least some capacity for reflective thinking,“ she wrote. “Forceful and domineering, a man infatuated with himself, Johnson was affected in his conduct of Vietnam policy by three elements in his character: an ego that was insatiable and never secure; a bottomless capacity to use and impose the powers of his office without inhibition; a profound aversion, once fixed upon a course of action, to any contradictions.“
That, demonstrably, is Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld and the rest of the cabal that has seized power in Washington. But there is logic to their idiocy--the goal of dominance. It also describes Blair, for whom the only logic is vainglorious. And now he is threatening to take Britain into the nightmare on offer in Iran. His Washington mentors are unlikely to ask for British troops, not yet. At first, they will prefer to bomb from a safe height, as Bill Clinton did in his destruction of Yugoslavia. They are aware that, like the Serbs, the Iranians are a serious people with a history of defending themselves and who are not stricken by the effects of a long siege, as the Iraqis were in 2003. When the Iranian defence minister promises “a crushing response“, you sense he means it.
Listen to Blair in the House of Commons: “It’s important we send a signal of strength“ against a regime that has “forsaken diplomacy“ and is “exporting terrorism“ and “flouting its international obligations“. Coming from one who has exported terrorism to Iran’s neighbour, scandalously reneged on Britain’s most sacred international obligations and forsaken diplomacy for brute force, these are Alice-through-the-looking-glass words.
However, they begin to make sense when you read Blair’s Commons speeches on Iraq of 25 February and 18 March 2003. In both crucial debates--the latter leading to the disastrous vote on the invasion--he used the same or similar expressions to lie that he remained committed to a peaceful resolution. “Even now, today, we are offering Saddam the prospect of voluntary disarmament . . .“ he said. From the revelations in Philippe Sands’s book Lawless World, the scale of his deception is clear. On 31 January 2003, Bush and Blair confirmed their earlier secret decision to attack Iraq.
Like the invasion of Iraq, an attack on Iran has a secret agenda that has nothing to do with the Tehran regime’s imaginary weapons of mass destruction. That Washington has managed to coerce enough members of the International Atomic Energy Agency into participating in a diplomatic charade is no more than reminiscent of the way it intimidated and bribed the “international community“ into attacking Iraq in 1991.
Iran offers no “nuclear threat“. There is not the slightest evidence that it has the centrifuges necessary to enrich uranium to weapons-grade material. The head of the IAEA, Mohamed ElBaradei, has repeatedly said his inspectors have found nothing to support American and Israeli claims. Iran has done nothing illegal; it has demonstrated no territorial ambitions nor has it engaged in the occupation of a foreign country--unlike the United States, Britain and Israel. It has complied with its obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty to allow inspectors to “go anywhere and see anything“--unlike the US and Israel. The latter has refused to recognise the NPT, and has between 200 and 500 thermonuclear weapons targeted at Iran and other Middle Eastern states.
Those who flout the rules of the NPT are America’s and Britain’s anointed friends. Both India and Pakistan have developed their nuclear weapons secretly and in defiance of the treaty. In Iran’s case, the excuse that the Bush regime has seized upon is the suspension of purely voluntary “confidence-building“ measures that Iran agreed with Britain, France and Germany in order to placate the US and show that it was “above suspicion“. Seals were placed on nuclear equipment following a concession given, some say foolishly, by Iranian negotiators and which had nothing to do with Iran’s obligations under the NPT.
Iran has since claimed back its “inalienable right“ under the terms of the NPT to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes.
For more than half a century, Britain and the US have menaced Iran. In 1953, the CIA and MI6 overthrew the democratic government of Muhammed Mossadeq, an inspired nationalist who believed that Iranian oil belonged to Iran. They installed the venal shah and, through a monstrous creation called Savak, built one of the most vicious police states of the modern era. The Islamic revolution in 1979 was inevitable and very nasty, yet it was not monolithic and, through popular pressure and movement from within the elite, Iran has begun to open to the outside world - in spite of having sustained an invasion by Saddam Hussein, who was encouraged and backed by the US and Britain.
At the same time, Iran has lived with the real threat of an Israeli attack, possibly with nuclear weapons, about which the “international community“ has remained silent. Recently, one of Israel’s leading military historians, Martin van Creveld, wrote: “Obviously, we don’t want Iran to have nuclear weapons and I don’t know if they’re developing them, but if they’re not developing them, they’re crazy.“
It is hardly surprising that the Tehran regime has drawn the “lesson“ of how North Korea, which has nuclear weapons, has successfully seen off the American predator without firing a shot. During the cold war, British “nuclear deterrent“ strategists argued the same justification for arming the nation with nuclear weapons; the Russians were coming, they said. As we are aware from declassified files, this was fiction, unlike the prospect of an American attack on Iran, which is very real and probably imminent.
Blair knows this. He also knows the real reasons for an attack and the part Britain is likely to play. Next month, Iran is scheduled to shift its petrodollars into a euro-based bourse. The effect on the value of the dollar will be significant, if not, in the long term, disastrous. At present the dollar is, on paper, a worthless currency bearing the burden of a national debt exceeding $8trn and a trade deficit of more than $600bn. The cost of the Iraq adventure alone, according to the Nobel Prizewinning economist Joseph Stiglitz, could be $2trn. America’s military empire, with its wars and 700-plus bases and limitless intrigues, is funded by creditors in Asia, principally China.
That oil is traded in dollars is critical in maintaining the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. What the Bush regime fears is not Iran’s nuclear ambitions but the effect of the world’s fourth-biggest oil producer and trader breaking the dollar monopoly. Will the world’s central banks then begin to shift their reserve holdings and, in effect, dump the dollar? Saddam Hussein was threatening to do the same when he was attacked.
While the Pentagon has no plans to occupy all of Iran, it has in its sights a strip of land that runs along the border with Iraq. This is Khuzestan, home to 90 per cent of Iran’s oil. On 28 January the Iranian government said that it had evidence of British undercover attacks in Khuzestan, including bombings, over the past year. Will the newly emboldened Labour MPs pursue this? Will they ask what the British army based in nearby Basra--notably the SAS--will do if or when Bush begins bombing Iran? With control of the oil of Khuzestan and Iraq and, by proxy, Saudi Arabia, the US will have what Richard Nixon called “the greatest prize of all“.
But what of Iran’s promise of “a crushing response“? Last year, the Pentagon delivered 500 “bunker-busting“ bombs to Israel. Will the Israelis use them against a desperate Iran? Bush’s 2002 Nuclear Posture Review cites “pre-emptive“ attack with so-called low-yield nuclear weapons as an option. Will the militarists in Washington use them, if only to demonstrate to the rest of us that, regardless of their problems with Iraq, they are able to “fight and win multiple, simultaneous major-theatre wars“, as they have boasted? That a British prime minister should collude with even a modicum of this insanity is cause for urgent action on this side of the Atlantic.
NEWSTATESMAN.CO.UK

Basra Video Should Lay to Rest A Scurrilous Lie
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An Iraqi woman watches a British solider on patrol in the southern city of Basra, Jan. 6. (AFP File Photo)
Since April 2003, the people of Basra have consistently been bemused by reports that they and their city enjoy a state of calm and stability under the command of the British forces, in contrast to the north of Iraq and the so-called Sunni triangle. As someone born and bred in Basra, I hope that the recent images of British troops beating young Basra boys to within an inch of their lives will allow such claims to be laid to rest and show a fraction of the reality that has made life throughout Iraq a living hell.
The truth is that ever since the fall of Saddam Hussein’s tyrannical regime, abuses and atrocities committed against Iraqi civilians have been a regular, at times daily, occurrence throughout the country, including in Basra. These have been committed by American, British and Iraqi official forces. The British prime minister describe this latest incident as an isolated case. It adds insult to very serious injury when we are told that this humiliation, torture and violence is the work of a few “bad apples“. From previous experience, the most we can look forward to is a whitewash inquiry and possibly a young, low-ranking soldier being made a scapegoat.
As a strong believer in the need for Iraqis to use the political process to bring about change, it is not difficult to see how innocent youngsters are radicalized and why they turn to widely available arms. Those who were beaten mercilessly while being mocked by the filmmaker for their pain and humiliation will never listen to me or my colleagues when we try to win them over to peaceful ways of venting their anger and frustration.
Although I and numerous members of my family dreamed of the day Saddam would be gone, I always opposed the invasion and occupation of our country. Subsequent events have made me even more convinced of the fallacy and immorality of the military campaign that Britain and the US have pursued in Iraq. The biggest indictment of the war and occupation is surely that more and more Iraqis are speaking publicly of how life was far better when Saddam was in power.
Tony Blair’s suggestion that British forces are in Iraq to educate Iraqis in democracy has only added salt to our bleeding wounds. This rhetoric harks back to imperial times when Britain was a colonial power and treated my forefathers, as well as many other peoples in the world, as backward savages. It hurts me that despite Blair’s first-class education, he seems to have learned so little.
Iraqis have suffered immensely over recent years, first from the West’s support for a despotic dictatorship, then from 13 years of sanctions that ravaged the country, and finally from a war and occupation that reduced a once-affluent country and its highly-educated people to rubble and dust.
It saddens me that Britain has had a significant hand in every episode that has heaped misery on Iraqis. At a time when a brief apology and admission of fault by the prime minister would have gone a long way toward reconciliation between our peoples, he has chosen to widen the gap still further. I share with the majority of Iraqis the belief that the only way forward is the immediate departure of American and British troops from our country.
Jasem Al-Aqrab,
head of organization for the Iraqi Islamic Party in Basra
GUARDIAN.CO.UK

Religion Cannot Be A Subject for Caricatures
Egyptians are a newspaper-reading nation. However, many choose their daily readings according to a caricaturist.
They buy al-Ahram because of Salah Shahin and al-Akhbar because of Mostafa Hussein. Famous cartoonists, like good writers, contribute to the circulation. One of the greatest caricaturists is Salah Shahin, who died a quarter-century ago.
Shahin was a caricaturist, a philosopher and a language artist. His drawings were the first to depict the lives of ordinary people (as they exist in the hands of fate and authority). Hussein carried on the same tradition. He established a character having typical contours for every walk of the society. He was the first great caricaturist who disgraced politicians, even the prime minister. Likewise, he was the first who hired a writer, Ahmad Rajab, to write his texts.
Shahin, Hussein and his student from al-Akhbar Amr Fahmi, turned cartooning into an artform in Egypt and their style became a school in the Arab world. They were successful, because they knew their readers and the limits of their readers. Even now, Hussein, who publishes a weekly societal criticism magazine The Caricature, continues to depict Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. In a period in which even Mubarak has ceased to be immune, the biggest taboo for all cartoonists still exists: Religion.
It is not only due to the ban on drawing in Islam that Arab caricaturists shun depicting Prophet Muhammed (PBHU). Briefly, either Islam or Christianity, religion can never become a cartoon subject. Though, this does not stop caricaturists from sometimes depicting imams or priests in their humane weaknesses. However, due to respect for faith there is a timidity regarding religion.
On the other hand, political caricatures are funny and quarrelsome? During war in Afghanistan, an Egyptian newspaper depicted a Taliban partisan, running up a hill, grabbing an aid package, eating a hamburger and screaming, “You infidel bastards, where is the ketchup?“ An Israeli is depicted holding a bloody sword under the Star of David in one hand and a swastika in the other.
In Egypt, people were busy with debates on the cartoon featuring Prophet Muhammed (PBUH) with bomb-shaped turban. The same caricature dominated the debates in Saudi Arabia. Again those, who revered the honor of the Prophet, rejected dialogue with the West, rejected opening up to outside world and rejected reforms--and they prevailed. Although Saudi government did not want tension, it had to take into account public opinion. Criticisms against Norway ended after the Norwegian government condemned the publication of the cartoons in a Norwegian magazine on January 10, the first day of the Feast of Sacrifice.
In Copenhagen on January 31, the Danish government and Islamic organizations tried to moderate the debates with Arab countries.
Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen embarked upon a comprehensive political offensive after Jyllands-Posten newspaper apologized for hurting the religious feelings of Muslims with the cartoons. Rasmussen, moving from the Saudi example, expressed his wish for abandonment of the boycott activities against Denmark. He also said that he was not the one who published the pictures of Prophet Mohammed. However, thousands of Palestinians were not satisfied with this explanation. They burned Danish flags in Gaza and shouted slogans such as, “War with Denmark, Death to Denmark!“ The Palestinians demanded a boycott of Danish products and also demanded an apology from the Danish government (they were far from satisfied with the previous apology). A Saudi newspaper asked, “What kind of a freedom of press is it that punishes the denial of the Holocaust, but tolerates insulting religion“?
ZAMAN.COM