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Domestic Economy
Tue, May 20, 2008

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Iran Khodro Expanding
Global Reach
China, Russia Out of IPI Project
Oil Price, Output Unrelated
On President’s Economic Agenda
By Masoud Safa
COMCO Assessing Chabahar Investment
Japanese Keen on Saffron Studies
28m Passengers to Travel by Rail

Iran Khodro Expanding
Global Reach
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Iran Khodro plans to double its exports to 600,000 cars by 2016.
Iran’s largest vehicle manufacturer, Iran Khodro, continues to expand its regional and global reach by opening a plant in Syria in April and readying a new plant in Turkey for 2009.
As the largest automaker in the Middle-East, Central Asia and North Africa, Iran Khodro is also ramping up exports as it builds a global presence outside Iran which is one of the biggest auto markets in the Middle East.
According to Fars News Agency, the company builds more than half a million vehicles a year, and officials have said they want to boost annual production to more than a million vehicles and hike exports to more than 600,000 by 2016.
The Syrian plant has a modest annual capacity of 5,000 units. The Turkey plant will supply Russia and central Europe. IKCO in the past two years has also begun kit assemblies in Azerbaijan, Belarus, Venezuela and Argentina, with plans to add assembly in Egypt, Vietnam and China in the next year or two.
The vehicle of choice for most of these local assembly operations is the ’Samand’, a compact sedan based heavily on the Peugeot 405 platform and with a price starting at about $9,000. ’Samand’ is the Persian name for a local breed of horse. Market observers believe that Samand, which is now registered as a trade name at the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO), could challenge future Chinese and Indian imports.
Iran-Khodro group, the manufacturer and owner of Samand, is the first Iranian company whose product is registered at the WIPO. The state will ensure against the fraudulent use of the name, industrial design and copying of the product manufactured by the company worldwide.
Many other world countries, including Turkey, Bangladesh and Pakistan are considered as established importers of petrol and gas-powered Samand models with left and right-hand steering-wheels.
Marketing researches have shown that given the financial capability of European and South Asian markets and the competitive advantage that Iran enjoys, Iran-Khodro can gain a foothold in many world markets in a relatively short period.
The company has other automobile production ventures with foreign countries and companies in a bid to market share for increased exports to regional markets. Croatian Ambassador to Tehran said last year that the people of East Europe are waiting for the Iranian-made passenger car ’Samand’.
She also said that after the launch of operation of Samand assembly line in Azerbaijan and Belarus, Iran Khodro now has better chances for access to the CIS and East European markets.
Iran started export of the latest model of Samand to 32 countries in autumn 2007. These countries are among customers of Iran Khodro, which have imported Samand LX and GLX before. The company has planned to manufacture 8,000 Samand Suren till May, of which 1,200 will be exported.
Samand Suren, Iran’s first passenger car to achieve Euro III emission standard, rolled off the assembly line several months ago. Aside from reducing exhaust gas pollutants, fuel consumption of the sedan has also been cut, and as a result of the modifications made to the new models of Samand, particularly its Engine Management System (EMS), the engine performance has been significantly enhanced. Better drive ability, knock reduction and improvement in the engine’s power output are cited as other changes made to the earlier model, according to the company officials.

China, Russia Out of IPI Project
China and Russia will not be part of a proposed pipeline project to transfer Iran’s gas to India via Pakistan, said deputy oil minister for international affairs.
“Countries such as China and Russia cannot take part in the IPI (Iran-Pakistan-India) gas pipeline project at the current stage,“ Hossein Noqrekar-Shirazi, told Presstv.
Construction of the 2,775-kilometer pipeline, also known as the ’Peace Pipeline’, will start in 2009 and will be completed by 2012, before Iran starts exporting natural gas in 2013.
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said during a visit to India last month that all the agreements related to the IPI project would be finalized within 45 days.
Noqrekar-Shirazi also said that a consortium comprising of all the countries interested in the project may be formed. Once completed, the pipeline will have the capacity to transfer 2.46 billion cubic feet of natural gas from Iran’s South Pars field to Pakistan and India.

Oil Price, Output Unrelated
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Major crude oil producer Iran has said any output hike by OPEC as sought by the US would not affect skyrocketing prices.
Oil minister said the market was ’saturated’ with crude and any output increase would not affect prices. “No, the market is saturated with oil and a hike in production does not have an impact on the price,“ Gholamhossein Nozari told Fars News Agency when asked whether OPEC would increase its output.
“This would only increase inventories,“ Nozari told reporters in reaction to US President George W. Bush pressing OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia to raise oil output.
“The market is oversupplied and increasing production will not affect prices,“ the minister said when asked whether an OPEC output hike would lower prices, which hit nearly $128 per barrel on Friday.
Saudi Arabia said that global supply was balanced with demand, but added that it had increased production by 300,000 barrels per day this month. Iran is OPEC’s No. 2 and the world’s fourth-largest exporter of oil. When prices reached $115 a barrel last month, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said oil was priced too low and that the commodity ’should find its real value’.

On President’s Economic Agenda
By Masoud Safa
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President Ahmadinejad has established a special working group, obliging senior economic officials, including economy minister, vice presidents and governor of the Central Bank of Iran, to coordinate among executive bodies to overhaul the economic system.
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is determined to rectify the economic system from within. Therefore, by establishing special working groups, he is trying to remove the obstacles to economic prosperity.
The president’s stance vis-ˆ-vis the economy shows that he believes in economic growth coupled with socioeconomic justice and rooting out corruption.
In his latest move, he established a special working group which has obliged senior economic officials, including economy minister, vice presidents and governor of the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) to prepare the administrative system and coordinate among executive bodies to overhaul the economic system.
The overhaul will include taxation, customs, banking, goods distribution, subsidies and fixing the value of the national currency. Details of the plan will be released in a few months.
Since assuming office in the summer of 2005, President Ahmadinejad explicitly criticized the banking system and insisted that the high banking profit rate was indefensible.
Hence, he announced that the profit rate should become single digit within five years.
Although several experts including some within the CBI objected to the move, he did not give up and assigned two special groups the task of rectifying the banking system to provide better services to clients and amending banking and monetary laws.
Another move by the president was revamping the management and planning system.
The incompetence of the system, particularly in drawing up annual budget bills, led to the dissolution of the Management and Planning Organization (MPO) last year.
The duties of the MPO were delegated to a vice president, who in turn is under the direct supervision of the chief executive.
The president’s third criticism of the economic system pertains to the insurance system, which has not grown in tandem with the country’s socioeconomic needs and cannot be a good support for developmental plans.
Ahmadinejad assigned a special group the task of identifying and removing the obstacles to the insurance system.
Ahmadinejad has so far sacked all his original macro economic administrators except the ministers of agricultural jihad and commerce.
MPs brought up an impeachment motion against minister of agricultural jihad once and the commerce minister will soon defend himself against a censure motion. The president has displayed that he is firm on meeting his target of economic overhaul.
Experts maintain that distribution of subsidies is an Achilles heel of the national economy.
They reason that subsidies, especially those on energy, are not distributed fairly among the people and the rich benefit more than the poor--the very people whose problems the subsidies are supposed to alleviate.
Ahmadinejad intends to rectify the taxation system and increase taxes on the rich. He wants to narrow the gap between the haves and the have-nots.
His firmness in correcting the customs laws and commodities distribution system hint at the fact that the economic system has been undergoing positive changes.
The president has come in for severe criticisms for his drive to improve the economy, but it must be understood that any move for improvement and betterment naturally encounters objections. That is the rule of nature.
Obviously, everybody does not necessarily agree on one issue. At any rate, Ahmadinejad faces a tough challenge in his plan to improve the economy.

COMCO Assessing Chabahar Investment
Managing director of Chabahar Free Trade-Industrial Zone on Sunday announced that an engineering delegation from China’s COMCO Machinery and Equipment Corporation visited the zone to review investment opportunities in southeastern Iran.
Talking to IRNA, Mohammad-Taher Baqerizadeh said that during its six-day visit, the delegation studied various industries such as fisheries, packaging, warehousing and cold storage facilities and a number of construction projects.
He added that Chabahar is the region’s main port for investment in view of its suitable geographical location.
Chabahar Free TradeŠIndustrial Zone was established in 1992 along with two other free trade zones Qeshm and Kish Island to use global expertise (mostly from southeast Asia) for developing the region, accelerating the completion of infrastructures, creating employment, and accessing global markets.
The zone’s importance lies in its geographical location as the shortest and the most secure route connecting central Asian states and Afghanistan to warm waters, its proximity to one of the largest oil, gas and mineral resources of the world and as the only oceanic port of the country.

Japanese Keen on Saffron Studies
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Iran produces about 96 percent of saffron in the world, said a professor of Japan’s Chipa University, Ika Gami.
Speaking in a seminar on ’Saffron, Miracle of the Century’ in Mashhad, Khorasan Razavi province on Sunday, he said that the Japanese people are interested in using various herbal medicines and it is essential to offer courses on the subject in the country’s universities, Mehr News Agency reported.
“Only 15 percent of Japan’s demands for herbal medicines are provided from domestic resources,“ he said, adding that the remaining 80 percent and 5 percent are met by imports from China and other countries respectively.

28m Passengers to Travel by Rail
About 28 million people will travel by train in the year to March 2009, said managing director of Raja Passenger Train Company, Mahmoud Jafari.
He added that the figure is equal to the number of passengers transported by 6.5 million automobiles in one year.
The official further said that Raja Company can offer its shares in the stock market in the coming years and become one of the leading companies in the region’s rail transport sector, Fars News Agency reported.
Jafari stated that number of passengers traveling by train in the year to March 2008 increased by 3.2 million compared to the figure for the preceding year, saving 1,700 billion rials in energy costs.
On average, Iranians travel by train for trips of over 580 kms. The occupancy rate of train seats which was 85 percent in the year to March 2007 reached 95 percent last year.
The company has 1,337 cars of which 1,074 are in use.

Rice Imports From Pakistan
Iran has imported over 1,000 tons of rice through the southern Pakistani border of Pishin in Sarbaz city.

No Turkmen Gas Cut This Year
Oil Minister Gholamhossein Nozari has said there will be no disruption in Turkmenistan’s gas deliveies to Iran this year.

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Gov’t Approves Kuwait Investment Law
The Iranian government recently approved a law designed to promote mutual investment between Iran and Kuwait.
The Law of Agreement on Reciprocal Promotion and Protection of Investment between Iran and Kuwait was first passed on August 27, 2007. It was subsequently published on April 20, 2008 in the Official Gazette and came into force as of May 6, 2008, according to the law-dedicated website Nourlaw.com
The new legislation states in its preamble that the governments of Iran and Kuwait signed the agreement to create prime conditions for expansion of mutual economic investment for investors from each country.
The law notes that both governments acknowledge reciprocal promotion and protection of such investments would expedite commercial activities and increase the productivity of the contracting parties.
In Article 1 of the Agreement, the terms of investment include moveable and immoveable properties, ownership rights such as leases, mortgages, liens, company shares and debentures, financial claims, intellectual property, etc.
Article 3 stipulates that the investments of nationals of either country in the territory of the other country shall enjoy fair and just treatment and full security. Articles 4 and 5 lay down the manner of compensating the damages suffered by investors.
Article 6 entitles investors to repatriate the profits and the principal investment. Other aspects and matters pertaining to reciprocal investments are also tackled in this 16-article Agreement.

Removal of Gasoline Quota Under Study
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The parliament is studying a plan to supply gasoline at floating rates rather than allocating a certain quota for each car, said Head of Majlis Energy Commission Kamal Daneshyar, noting that gasoline quota for vehicles was scheduled to be removed by next March.
He further told reporters that a debate is currently underway in the parliament’s Energy Commission to do away with the rationing system which has been in force since June 22, reported Mehr News Agency.
The lawmaker believed that the rationing plan has failed to achieve its declared objective of reducing gasoline consumption arguing that the reason for the failure was the addition of one million new cars each year to the existing seven million cars nationwide.
In the early stages of gasoline rationing, it was reported that gasoline consumption had reached 15 million liters per day from 35-36 million liters per day before the rationing plan came into effect. “That was temporary,“ said the MP adding that it continued only for a short period.
The problem of high gasoline consumption in Iran can be solved by gradually increasing gasoline price and by paying subsidies, Daneshyar added.
Based on the present rationing system each private car receives 120 liters per month at about 10 cents per liter. Currently, petrol price out of the quota system is 40 cents.

UAE Gas Talks Positive
Iran has said its latest talks with the United Arab Emirates’ Crescent Petroleum on a long-running price dispute were ’very positive’.
According to Fars News Agency, Iran and privately-owned Crescent, based in Sharjah in the United Arab Emirates, have been in negotiations since 2006 about the price of gas exports from the Iranian offshore Salman field to the UAE.
Last month, Tehran threatened the UAE firm of channeling the gas it planned to sell Crescent to the domestic market if the price dispute was not resolved.
According to the National Iranian Gas Export Company, ’the results have been very positive and in line with Iran’s national interests’.
The UAE needs gas from the $1-billion project to meet growing domestic demand for industry and power plants, but the deal became controversial in Iran after some politicians said the export price should be higher.
Crescent has previously said the gas supply agreement signed with Iran was internationally binding.
Tehran’s previous stance was that it would use the gas for its own domestic consumption if a deal was not reached. Crescent in February said it had made progress on talks to resolve the dispute about pricing and volume for gas imports from Iran but had yet to reach a final agreement.
Tehran has no pipeline from the offshore Salman field back to Iran and therefore limited options for domestic use. Crescent had expected first deliveries of the gas in mid-2006. The initial agreement was for the supply of 600 million cubic feet per day. Crescent’s affiliate Dana Gas will process and transport the gas to utilities and industrial users in the UAE.

Capital Market Can Boost Economy
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Deputy director of Bourse Organization has said the capital market has the potential to boost the national economy.
Speaking to IRNA on the occasion of floating the shares of state-owed Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) at Tehran Stock Exchange, Ahmad Ahmadpour said companies can sell shares in the stock market to secure capital, boost production and create jobs.
Establishment of new financial firms, banking investments and mutual funds, organization of the capital market and new data bank for quick access to information at minimum costs plus a new software project for deals and training workshops were among the main activities of the Bourse Organization in the last (Iranian) year (to March 19), he recalled.
Ahmadpour added, “Other measures included creating new financial mechanisms to diversify the stock market, MoUs inked with Malaysian and Indonesian stock markets, and participation of major companies that helped increase the value of Tehran Stock Exchange by $50 billion.“
Regarding companies that come under the category of Article 44 of the Constitution (pertaining to privatization of state-owned firms), he said the presence of these companies in the bourse helped put an end to the monopoly of auto manufacturers, cement producers, banks and leasing firms.
According to him, government support can help speed up the privatization of state-owned firms and to this end it is necessary to amend capital market regulations, win public trust, pave the way for participation of new players and expand cooperation with other regional/international stock markets. On Sunday, the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines sold 127.5 million shares each worth 2,500 rials in the bourse.

Fourth Plan Projects Oil Output Increase
Deputy Oil Minister says raising oil output by 1 million bpd is one of most important goals of the country’s 4th Development Plan. (2005-10)
The development of Azadegan and Yadavaran oilfields are the main priorities of the Oil Ministry to achieve the goal set in the Fourth Development Plan, said Akbar Torkan in an interview with Mehr News Agency.
Increasing natural gas production to 250 million cubic meters per day is another goal of the Oil Ministry in order to realize the goals set in the plan for the oil and gas sector, he added.
The Iranian Oil Ministry has defined the goals set in the country’s Fourth Development Plan within a number of development projects and has delegated the responsibility for their implementation to its subsidiary companies, the Deputy Minister said.
Easy access to oil is no longer possible and the country must economize on its existing oil resources through full utilization of actual capacities, using the best possible capabilities and expertise available, the official stated.
Iran’s current average daily output is 4.19 million bpd. Some 1.6 million bpd are being used by the refineries, with the remaining set aside for export.

Impex Negotiating Azadegan Share
Impex Holding Inc. of Japan is in talks with National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) to regain its 10-percent share in the development of Iran’s Azadegan oilfield.
Directors of Impex apparently are in Iran to discuss the issue of regaining their 10-percent share in the development of Iran’s huge Azadegan oilfield with NIOC officials, ISNA reported.
Earlier, Iran decided to cancel the Impex contract because of the company’s failure to meet its obligations.
Under US pressures to isolate Iran for its uranium enrichment activities, which Iran says are for peaceful purposes, the government-backed Impex was forced to exit the project and limit itself to 10 percent financing.
Azadegan oilfield, located in southwestern Iran, near the border with Iraq, was estimated to contain 33 billion barrels of oil but after further explorations, a new layer of 2.2 billon barrels was added to its estimated reserves. Impex originally had a 75 percent stake in the $2-billion development project, with state-owned NIOC holding the remaining 25 percent.
The field is expected to pump 150,000 barrels a day of crude by mid-2008 and 260,000 barrel per day by early 2012.
Construction at the Azadegan field was not easy. The area, about 500 miles southwest of Tehran, lies in a former battle zone of the Iran-Iraq war and is said to be rife with unexploded landmines, which are still being cleared.
Iran, which has spent more than $18 million for clearing the mines so far, recently announced that it would develop Azadegan as the first major field to be developed solely by domestic companies.