0410 GMT October 22, 2019
A former US diplomat familiar with the negotiations told Al-Monitor, on condition that he not be named, that such a proposal is on the table in talks between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (P5+1). An Iranian negotiator did not respond to a request for comment.
A Treasury Department spokesperson also declined comment. However, Tyler Cullis, a legal fellow and policy associate at the National Iranian American Council (NIAC) told Al-Monitor, “We've heard indications that the idea is being considered.”
Cullis said the creation of what is known as a 'blessed channel' would serve several important purposes.
First, it would facilitate authorized transactions between the United States and Iran, which have been stymied in the absence of a clear route for moving funds. Even though US sanctions permit the sale of food, medicine and certain communications devices, for example, US suppliers have struggled to figure out a reliable, legal way to get paid.
Personal remittances to and from Iran have also been hindered, Iranian students in the United States have had difficulty transferring funds to pay their bills and even US-based charities have been blocked in efforts to send aid to Iran.
The second important purpose, Cullis said, is that it would send a signal to European and other foreign banks that they can resume normal operations with Iran because “the US is turning the page”.
Positive impact on deal
In a policy statement issued on November 4, NIAC added that establishing a direct channel would have a positive impact on an overall nuclear deal by demonstrating US commitment to relieving economic pressure on Iran in return for curbs on its nuclear program.
“A direct financial channel would help sustain a nuclear deal with Iran by ensuring that Iran receives the sanctions relief the United States pledged it at the negotiating table,” read the statement, which was shared with Al-Monitor in advance.
In the event of a nuclear deal, European and other non-US companies are far more likely to benefit initially than American businesses, most of which have been barred from trade with and investment in Iran by a 1995 executive order.
Europeans have cut back on economic ties with Iran only in recent years, primarily because of US sanctions that interfered with Iran's access to the international financial system.
Elizabeth Rosenberg, a former senior adviser to the US Treasury Department, told Al-Monitor, “I expect US persons to face quite a lot of challenges to doing business with Iran,” even if a direct banking channel is created. “It may just mean that certain foreign companies and banks are able to more easily manage transactions.”
Among the possibilities, she said, is that a dedicated channel could allow Iran to repatriate revenues from oil sales more easily. “It may involve a US node but that doesn't mean it's going to involve US persons investing in Iran or commercial trade” on a major scale, she said.
Under the interim nuclear agreement signed by Iran and the P5+1 a year ago, the US Treasury promised to establish a channel to facilitate both humanitarian transactions and Iranian access to some of the more than $100 billion in its oil revenues frozen in foreign accounts. The channels were only established in May and the names of the banks — said to include institutions in Japan and Switzerland — have not been made public.
Other US measures prohibit Iran from clearing transactions in US dollars or making electronic payments through the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Transactions, known as SWIFT.
Rosenberg, who is now a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, said that rather than waiving existing executive orders, Obama might simply issue a new one to license approved activities.
As for permitting the use of dollars, Rosenberg told Al-Monitor, “It seems likely that there will be a greater ability for Iran to use the US financial system … including an ability to use the dollar,” but overall removal of restrictions would be 'a big deal' and are unlikely to be included in the initial stages of an agreement.
She expressed a similar view about Iranian reintegration into the SWIFT system of electronic messaging, even though that will be a decision for the Europeans — who run the system — to make in coordination with the United States.
NIAC suggested that the US Federal Reserve be tasked with establishing the new channel given the reluctance of US commercial banks to resume ties.
Some US and European banks have faced multibillion-dollar fines for sanctions infractions, and banks have been reluctant to do business with Iran even if authorized.
Opponents of an Iran deal in the US Congress could try to block the creation of a direct channel. However, this would be “no easier than blocking any other part of the sanctions relief”, Cullis said, since Congress gave Obama authority “to generally or specifically authorize regulatory exceptions to the trade ban, including that of a direct financial channel”.