0139 GMT November 22, 2019
Frank Matsaert, chief executive of Trade Mark East Africa — a donor-funded agency working to boost trade in the region — attributes the progress to “a series of interlocking reforms that have worked as a result of concerted political will by east African leaders”.
Such developments are not confined to one part of the continent. The vast majority of Africa’s 54 nations are members of at least one of what African Union officials call the 'spaghetti bowl' of more than a dozen regional economic groups, FT reported.
Last year three of the largest — the Southern African Development Community (SADC), the east African Community (EAC), and the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) — came together under the Tripartite Free Trade Agreement.
The even loftier ambition of Africa’s leaders, however, is to create a single free-trade area spanning the continent that would boost commerce, stimulate growth and create much-needed employment. This week the African Union and UN are hosting the first conference on the Continental Free Trade Area (CFTA), as the pan-African trade initiative has been named.
The African Export-Import Bank estimates that intra-African trade will be worth $180 billion this year, of which about 40 percent is informal. It hopes to boost this by a third by 2021.
But this year’s figure is only 19 percent of the continent’s $930 billion total trade, the bank said, compared with more than 60 percent for the EU. It attributes the paltry figure to low industrialization levels, restricted movement of labor, poor infrastructure and a high dependence on exporting unprocessed commodities in many countries.
The CFTA conference in the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa brings together governments, the private sector, academics and civil society group with the aim of finalizing the structure of the negotiations. Officials hope African heads of state will approve these at a summit next month, leading to a deal being signed in 18 months. Implementation, which is likely to take years, will then follow.
Fatima Acyl, the AU trade and industry commissioner, is “10 out of 10 certain” that the CFTA is going to happen, although she admits “it’s a journey and not flipping a switch”.
“Right now we’re focusing on trade in goods and trade in services,” she said. “We can later turn to things like competition policy and intellectual property rights.”
Acyl dismisses concerns that global opinion is moving away from deeper integration, with the failure of the World Trade Organization’s Doha round, the UK’s decision to leave the EU, and Donald Trump’s plans to withdraw from agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
“If you look at the EU, at Brexit, they have already the industrialization; they’re powerful countries that have integrated but now maybe they’re going in different directions,” she said. “That’s not the case for Africa. We need each other. We need to integrate. We’re too small, too fragmented to have a voice anywhere. We need it to attract a huge amount of investment.”
The CFTA is a 'must-do thing', said Nana Dankawoso, president of the Pan African Chamber of Commerce and Industry. “We’re going well in the global markets but the challenge is to trade among ourselves,” he said. Matsaert estimates that reducing trade barriers, let alone eliminating them, would lift Africa’s growth rate by 1-2 percent a year, creating millions of much-needed jobs.