0209 GMT January 29, 2020
Unemployment is usually higher in July
The share of unemployed people in the Czech Republic increased from June’s 2.9 percent to 3.1 percent in July, think.ing.com reported.
The increase is down to seasonal factors we often see at this time of year. As the holidays begin, some new graduates and school leavers are actively looking for work.
We also see slower recruitment during the holidays. A smaller increase in the unemployment is typical for July, and the market expected unemployment to grow to only 3.0 percent; the slightly higher figure was given by a small variation, as the exact rate of unemployment in June was 3.065 percent.
Job vacanies at new highs
That said, the labor market tightened further in July. Job vacancies once again reached a new high and increased to 310,000. Compared with a year ago, there are almost 122,000 more jobs in the domestic economy (more than 65 percent YoY) and 71,500 fewer unemployed, which is a 23.6-percent year-on-year decline.
As a consequence, the number of job vacancies has exceeded the number of unemployed people since April. Favorable too is the fact that long-term unemployment is decreasing; the number of applicants who are registered for more than 5 months fell by 57,500 (32.6 percent) year-on-year.
Room for further decline is limited
Unemployment is already at such a low rate that it is declining more slowly than in the past.
However, its development is still slightly above expectations. The CNB's new forecast expects the share of unemployed to decrease to 3.2 percent this year, the latest forecast from the Ministry of Finance is 3.3 percent.
Compared to the previous year of 4.2 percent, this is another noticeable decrease. For next year, a slightly smaller figure is expected because there's so little room left for further decline.