News ID: 219850
Published: 0147 GMT August 14, 2018

Oil edges up on Saudi output cut, Iran sanctions

Oil edges up on Saudi output cut, Iran sanctions
REUTERS

Oil prices rose on Tuesday after Saudi Arabia said it cut production in July, adding to concerns over global supply as US sanctions against Iran curb its exports, though concerns over a slowdown in global economic growth kept a lid on markets.

Benchmark Brent crude oil LCOc1 was up 70 cents at $73.31 a barrel by 1105 GMT. US light crude CLc1 was 60 cents higher at $67.75, Reuters reported.

“Oil prices are on the rebound as bulls take heart from an unexpected dip in Saudi oil output and the lingering Iranian wildcard,” said Stephen Brennock, analyst at London brokerage PVM Oil Associates.

Saudi Arabia told the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries that it had reduced crude output by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 10.29 million bpd in July.

OPEC itself, using secondary sources, estimated in a report published on Monday that Saudi production was at a slightly higher level of 10.39 million bpd last month.

But both figures suggest the kingdom is keen to avoid a repeat of a global glut that has depressed prices over the past few years.

“We do not think that Saudi Arabia is interested in seeing Brent crude below $70 a barrel,” said SEB commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop.

The lower Saudi output coincides with expected export declines from Iran as Washington reimposes sanctions on Tehran.

But output from non-OPEC countries, particularly the United States, is rising quickly, limiting demand for OPEC oil.

OPEC expects oil supply by countries outside the organization to increase by 2.13 million bpd next year, 30,000 bpd more than forecast last month, with much of the increase coming from new US shale production.

US oil output from seven major shale basins is expected to rise 93,000 bpd in September to 7.52 million bpd, the US Energy Information Administration said on Monday.

Global oil demand is also rising, but not as fast as supply.

OPEC expects world oil demand to grow by 1.43 million bpd in 2019, down from 1.64 million bpd in 2018.

Analysts say trade disputes between the United States and China as well as turmoil in emerging markets could curb growth and energy demand.

China’s economy is showing further signs of cooling as the United States prepares to impose even tougher trade tariffs, with investment in the first seven months of the year slowing and retail sales softening, data showed on Tuesday.

 

 

   
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